Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 8.346761 9.541069 10.857708 12.418851 14.221996 16.242307 18.681821
2025-08-31 6.567592 8.075579 9.871237 12.174237 15.059983 18.569909 23.183348
2025-09-07 5.824876 7.548214 9.717779 12.664217 16.584067 21.651038 28.748059
2025-09-14 5.175622 6.997445 9.396891 12.811446 17.583276 24.070274 33.650937
2025-09-21 4.618710 6.474924 9.016058 12.780885 18.271526 26.070744 38.137930
2025-09-28 4.136207 5.986553 8.607635 12.632253 18.729382 27.737715 42.272764
2025-10-05 3.894782 5.808558 8.607988 13.054210 20.037815 30.750577 48.745394
2025-10-12 3.663393 5.615582 8.556717 13.375961 21.203085 33.636608 55.322948
2025-10-19 3.493897 5.496128 8.597863 13.832727 22.610008 37.026083 63.095775
2025-10-26 3.172518 5.104681 8.171758 13.484343 22.645665 38.143691 67.085424
2025-11-02 2.925032 4.809059 7.870229 13.306294 22.937277 39.701175 71.997709
2025-11-09 2.712262 4.551335 7.606312 13.161633 23.261338 41.328483 77.195888
2025-11-16 2.506077 4.290450 7.319642 12.958303 23.474349 42.803083 82.337812
2025-11-23 2.312359 4.034888 7.020168 12.702432 23.561784 44.047922 87.173763
2025-11-30 2.255680 4.016304 7.135376 13.215175 25.141659 48.278073 98.516818
2025-12-07 2.151020 3.901421 7.065461 13.369255 26.036563 51.253276 107.609195
2025-12-14 2.030200 3.746496 6.907948 13.337272 26.553199 53.512004 115.429226
2025-12-21 1.904181 3.571660 6.698343 13.181724 26.798643 55.227914 122.247308
2025-12-28 1.860466 3.551053 6.782114 13.623329 28.328878 59.811166 136.156761
2026-01-04 1.806801 3.506429 6.814462 13.960092 29.665696 64.111062 149.956377
2026-01-11 1.771173 3.494651 6.910571 14.438213 31.356748 69.374461 166.771754
2026-01-18 1.651449 3.303320 6.626896 14.073537 31.123541 70.220629 172.721337
2026-01-25 1.558355 3.160241 6.432325 13.887172 31.278932 71.985974 181.238033